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Thursday, May 31, 2012

Mega-Conferences

I've never understood why college football seems so determined to set-up what they call "Mega-Conferences". If you don't know what I'm talking about, basically instead of having the six current "big boy" conferences of 10 to 14 teams (ACC, SEC, Big 10, Big 12, Big East, and PAC-12), they would take the teams from the six current conferences and create four mega-conferences of 16 teams each.  So, let's ask the big question - is this actually a good thing for college football?  I say no and here is why:
  • It would dilute competition.  Right now, each school from a "big boy" conference plays 8 or 9 conference games and 3 or 4 non-conference games (mostly against cupcake teams, aka easy wins) per year.  But if we go to four mega-conferences, how many conference games would each team play?  I feel like playing only 8 conference games defeats the purpose when you have 15 other teams in that conference and playing any more than that doesn't allow a team to pad their schedule with easy wins.  And since going undefeated while winning the National Championship is the crowning achievement of college football, the new format would make it nearly impossible to do that.  From 1950 to 2002, the National Champion finished the season undefeated 39 times, and from 2003 to 2011, only twice has the National Champion finished with zero losses.  In other words, the number of times the NC finished with a blemish on their record has increased substantially in the past nine seasons.  So in essence, having mega-conferences would make college football more like the NFL in that going undefeated will be close to impossible and I don't think college football wants to become exactly like the NFL.
  • It would make screwing up the new college football playoff easier.  If we assume that each conference has a championship game and that that winner moves on to the new four-team National Championship playoff, then all it would take is one bad game by the most deserving team in the conference championship for them to be bounced from the National Championship picture.  In other words, college football would once again be looking more and more like the NFL but without wild cards which is even worse.  However, college football likes its uniqueness and they would be taking that away (not that the BCS is something college football should hang their hat on).
  • It makes getting to the National Championship even harder.  I know this one sounds a lot like the last point, but it bears repeating.  A couple of the ACC schools (FSU and Clemson for example) are talking about jumping to the Big 12 (which only has 10 teams, not 12) because of financial and competition reasons.  But why would they want do that when it is easier to go undefeated in the ACC then it would be to go undefeated in the Big 12?  Seriously, why would FSU want out of the ACC if they think it is a crappier football conference which means it gives them the best path to going undefeated which would make it easier for them to get to the National Championship playoff which in turn would generate their school plenty of revenue and national exposure?  That makes no sense to me.  I know jumping to the Big 12 would bring in bigger TV revenue, but isn't winning the National Championship just as big a goal as making money?  Apparently not anymore.
Sure, you could argue that mega-conferences would generate more money, but that's not a given.  Plus it would make college football nothing more than the NFL Minor Leagues and I don't think that that is something that college football wants to do.  Personally, I think the decision-makers should hold off a couple of seasons and see how the new look 14-team SEC (and soon-to-be 14-team ACC) fairs with their extra conference games.  Either they are going to prove me wrong and it really doesn't make that big a difference or the SEC will falter and fall flat on their smug faces which everyone should enjoy (except smug SEC fans).

"I would have a hard time actually watching a game if these ladies were sitting beside me.  Also, do you think FSU charges more for the tickets that seat you next to these ladies?"

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