As of this post, the Kansas City Chiefs are only favored by 7.5 points over the Cleveland Browns. This is a classic Vegas game. What possible reason could there be for that small of a spread? Often this means Vegas knows something you don't. Maybe the Browns have a much better defense than we think or the Chiefs offense is too vanilla to beat even a slightly above average defense. To that I say screw it. This is my NFL pick of the year thus far. Chiefs minus 7.5. Here are the reasons:
- They are the Browns - has anything good ever come from that franchise?
- Jamaal Charles is the third leading rusher and has the second most TDs for a RB
- KC's pass defense is one of the best in the NFL
- KC's rush defense is not that great, but fortunately the Browns are HORRIBLE at running the ball
- Weeden (CLE QB) is 30th in the league in passing rating and 35th in QBR
- The Chiefs turnover differential is +11. Cleveland's is -1
- The Browns still don't know who is going to start the game at QB. Not because they are hurt, they are just terrible.
- CLE averages 11.5 points per game under Weeden
No way the Browns score more than 13 points which means KC only needs 21 at a minimum. I think they do it easily. Final score 31-10 Chiefs.
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| "However, the Browns are no.1 in Fan Middle Fingers." |
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