Saturday, January 19, 2013

NFL Awesome Picks Spectacular - Playoffs Week 3

Because we here at Brainfart love us some football, we decided that we would be doing some NFL picks, too. So, here is where I make my NAPS (NFL Awesome Picks Spectacular):

Picks are in red
All lines are provided by Sportsbook.ag
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons (+4.5)
(UNDER 49)
Sunday 3:00

- There are too many people still saying the Falcons don't deserve to be here.  Maybe the pundits are right but the Falcons have a decent QB, a solid defense, and three top tier pass-catchers.  That combination is solid and is what got them to the #1 seed.  Colin Kaepernick is the X-factor in this game.  For the 49ers to win he will have to make some special plays.  He has the ability to do that but he has also had games where he has been less than spectacular.  He is never a huge passing threat and he only has one viable receiving option in Crabtree.  The 49ers defense is good but it has been far from unstoppable like they showed earlier in the season.  This game should be more of slug-fest than either teams' previous games which is why I will take the 4.5 points and go with the Falcons.

Baltimore Ravens (+8) @ New England Patriots
(OVER 51.5)
Sunday 6:30

- We all know how good Brady and the Patriots offense is, but without Gronk they do lose something.  Without their crazy TE, Brady still has tons of weapons but not a guy he can just throw it up to with any confidence even if they are well covered.  Their defense has also continued to progress; however, Flacco has been great so far in the playoffs connecting on a lot of 50+ yard touchdowns. The Patriots are great at taking away the other team's number one threat but the Ravens have options with the deep ball, underneath throws to Boldin and Pitta, and running with Ray Rice.  The number one thing the Ravens have going for them is that they are the one team that isn't intimidated at all by the Patriots and they know they can beat them.  Since 2007, the Patriots are 4-2 against the Ravens but they have never won by more than 6.  This game is going to be close which makes it easy to take the 8.

Last Week's Results: 3-5
Season Results: 44-50-2

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